Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above 310000?
This contract is priced at 63¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$100
Best sibling
Above 340K 32¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-310000
Market snapshot
Above 310K in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above 310000?. The displayed quote is 63¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above 310K
Family rank
#3 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
63¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
—
Family context
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above
Quote range
32¢-85¢
Family leader
Above 280K 85¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-310000. Family volume: $100.
Price history
63¢ current
+62¢Orderbook snapshot
59 / 67¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election is above 310000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-310000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$100
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 280K 85¢
Current share
0%
Above 310K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-310000
Above 340K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-340000
Above 280K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-280000
Above 300K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-300000
Above 330K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NC04-330000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 63% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.