SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

2026 Election Voter Turnout Markets

Kalshi contracts forecasting total voter turnout thresholds in 2026 U.S. midterm congressional and gubernatorial races. This page is the per-series collection canonical — for the term-structure / analytics view of the same prefix see yield curve analytics.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose ticker belongs to the KXMIDTERMVOTETURN series. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (they do not share the Kalshi series prefix taxonomy) and per-question aggregates (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

2,456

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in 2026 Election Voter Turnout Markets

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Showing top 20 of 2,456 (page caps at 500 for safety).

ContractPrice
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 11500000?: Above 11.5M[K]
49¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 13100000?: Above 13.1M[K]
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 07 House General Election be above 220000?: Above 220K[K]
38¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts Senate General Election be above 3400000?: Above 3.40M[K]
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above 340000?: Above 340K[K]
32¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 10 House General Election be above 240000?: Above 240K[K]
18¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Governor General Election be above 3900000?: Above 3.9M[K]
62¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 300000?: Above 300K[K]
18¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 03 House General Election be above 250000?: Above 250K[K]
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 290000?: Above 290K[K]
30¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 02 House General Election be above 197000?: Above 197K[K]
78¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska at large House General Election be above 320000?: Above 320K[K]
14¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 04 House General Election be above 240000?: Above 240K[K]
14¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 01 House General Election be above 230000?: Above 230K[K]
11¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 270000?: Above 270K[K]
41¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska at large House General Election be above 280000?: Above 280K[K]
68¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 04 House General Election be above 230000?: Above 230K[K]
24¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska at large House General Election be above 310000?: Above 310K[K]
32¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska at large House General Election be above 290000?: Above 290K[K]
50¢
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 02 House General Election be above 240000?: Above 240K[K]
11¢

Showing top 20 of 2,456 markets in this hub.

Other series

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 19:53:54 GMT.

Term-structure view

Probability vs tenor curve for the same series. Distinct intent — analytics, not navigation. /yield-curves/KXMIDTERMVOTETURN

Category view

All Kalshi Elections markets. /markets/category/elections

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →