SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027541 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 2900000?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

57¢
$50 volume
$21 liquidity

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Above 2.6M 87¢

Ticker

KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-WIGOV-2900000

Market snapshot

Above 2.9M in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 2900000?. The displayed quote is 57¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $50. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above 2.9M

Family rank

#3 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

57¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$50

Family context

5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above

Quote range

9¢-87¢

Family leader

Above 2.6M 87¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-WIGOV-2900000. Family volume: .

Price history

57¢ current

+26¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 6, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 38¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
35¢112
34¢500
33¢200
3¢200
2¢5.0K
AskSize
38¢27
39¢555
43¢100
44¢200
80¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election is above 2900000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-WIGOV-2900000

SF Signal
SF Index
62.69
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 2.6M 87¢

Current share

Browse this series

2026 Election Voter Turnout Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMIDTERMVOTETURN series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

125.4%

IY (No)

36.4%

Adj IY

63%

CRI

2

Overround

1.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

125.4%
36.4%
Adj IY
63%
2
Overround
1.0%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.