SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 2027382 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?

This contract is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

77¢
$265 volume
$265 liquidity

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Above 1.0M 89¢

Ticker

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-SENATETXR26-1400000

Market snapshot

Above 1.4M in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1400000?. The displayed quote is 77¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $265. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above family, this outcome ranks #5 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 1.4M

Family rank

#5 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

77¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2027

Reported volume

$265

Family context

13 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above

Quote range

1¢-89¢

Family leader

Above 1.0M 89¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-SENATETXR26-1400000. Family volume: .

Price history

77¢ current

16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 18, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 83¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
76¢100
74¢200
17¢817
16¢45
15¢163
AskSize
83¢100
84¢100
85¢200
96¢49
97¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff is above 1400000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-SENATETXR26-1400000

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

30.1%

IY (No)

302.3%

Adj IY

151%

CRI

3

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

30.1%
302.3%
Adj IY
151%
3
Overround
4.3%

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