SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 2027382 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1500000?

This contract is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

56¢
$1K volume
$610 liquidity

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Above 1.0M 89¢

Ticker

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-SENATETXR26-1500000

Market snapshot

Above 1.5M in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above 1500000?. The displayed quote is 56¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above family, this outcome ranks #6 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 1.5M

Family rank

#6 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

56¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2027

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

13 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be above

Quote range

1¢-89¢

Family leader

Above 1.0M 89¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-SENATETXR26-1500000. Family volume: .

Price history

56¢ current

34¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 18, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 63¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
56¢100
54¢200
16¢642
15¢165
AskSize
63¢32
64¢100
65¢200
89¢157
90¢612

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff is above 1500000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-SENATETXR26-1500000

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

75.0%

IY (No)

121.5%

Adj IY

61%

CRI

1

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

75.0%
121.5%
Adj IY
61%
1
Overround
4.3%

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