SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 5, 20260 days left

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >102.99 on May 5, 2026?

This contract is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

70¢
$36K volume
$23K liquidity
10% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$360K

Best sibling

$105 or above 43¢

Ticker

KXWTI-26MAY05-T102.99

Price history

70¢ current

+34¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 72¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
69¢240
68¢191
67¢60
65¢66
64¢100
AskSize
72¢1.9K
73¢4.0K
75¢100
78¢25
79¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on May 05, 2026 is above $102.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 5, 2026

Identifier

KXWTI-26MAY05-T102.99

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

Overround

8.6%

LAS

0.03

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

2
Overround
8.6%
LAS
0.03

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmacro

Venezuela Oil Production, PDVSA 2026 Sanctions & Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Really Pricing In

In-depth analysis of Venezuela oil production and PDVSA through 2026, U.S. sanctions and Chevron licenses, China/Russia oil-for-loans, infrastructure constraints, and how prediction markets are pricing future Venezuelan supply.

Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index