SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 10, 20261 days left

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of May 3, 2026?

This contract is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

38¢
$5K volume
$2K liquidity
87% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$6K

Best sibling

At least 15 1¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPACT-26MAY03-T5

Market snapshot

At least 5 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of May 3, 2026?. The displayed quote is 38¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Will there be at least family, this outcome ranks #5 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 5

Family rank

#5 of 8

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

38¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

24h volume

$1K

Family context

8 outcomes · Will there be at least

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

At least 4 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPACT-26MAY03-T5. Family volume: $6K.

Price history

38¢ current

49¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 37¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
32¢10
30¢50
28¢100
21¢173
11¢1
AskSize
37¢5
38¢227
39¢100
75¢100
76¢485

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken at least 5 presidential actions from May 3, 2026 through May 9, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on May 10, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPACT-26MAY03-T5

Event family

Will there be at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$6K

Outcomes

8

Highest price

At least 4 99¢

Current share

25%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

1.02

IAR

1.0/h

Overround

-0.6%

LAS

0.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
1.02
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
-0.6%
LAS
0.16

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