Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from May 4, 2026 to May 10, 2026?
This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$39K
Best sibling
Above 20 32¢
Ticker
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T60
Market snapshot
Above 60 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from May 4, 2026 to May 10, 2026?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will there be more than family, this outcome ranks #3 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above 60
Family rank
#3 of 9
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
4¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
9 outcomes · Will there be more than
Quote range
1¢-32¢
Family leader
Above 20 32¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T60. Family volume: $39K.
Price history
4¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from May 4, 2026 to May 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T60
Event family
Will there be more than.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$39K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 20 32¢
Current share
7%
Above 60
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T60
Above 20
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T20
Above 100
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T100
Above 40
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T40
Above 150
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T150
Above 120
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T120
Above 80
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T80
Above 200
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T200
Above 250
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY10-T250
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 4% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.