Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 1704.9% implied yield on Yes—such pricing typically reflects no real trading activity rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 1704.9% implied yield on Yes—such pricing typically reflects no real trading activity rather than genuine market consensus. The 48¢ spread is unusually wide for a binary contract, further indicating thin liquidity and potential mispricing. With 28 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, traders should be cautious that this market may lack sufficient depth to execute meaningful positions, and the quoted yields are largely theoretical given the absence of actual order flow.
Resolution rules
If above 4.5 games are played in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBASERIESGAMES-26ORLDETR1-5 yes 100