Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 47% probability that Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?. This contract trades at 47¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $11 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 39¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.

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47¢
Bid/Ask 27/44¢·Spread 17¢·Vol $10.45·OI $126.39·Closes May 16, 2026·24d remaining
KXNBASERIESGAMES-26ATLNYKR1-7
7-day price64 snapshots · 3 regime
28¢27¢ current
Apr 147¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $11 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 39¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical 4095% implied yield on Yes reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine edge, and the 5¢ spread is wide relative to the contract value. With 30 days to expiry and a first-round series that typically concludes well before May 16, 2026, there's significant cliff risk (index of 3) that the market could resolve suddenly once the series concludes, leaving late traders stranded.

Resolution rules

If above 6.5 games are played in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4077.4%
IY (No) 557.8%
Adj IY 4077%
CRI 3
RV 1060%
VR 0.99
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4077.4%
IY (No)557.8%
Adj IY4077%
CRI3
RV1060%
VR0.99
IAR0.9/h

Regime

Label
taker
Score
0.636
Spread
17¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:12:43 PM
Observability directEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:08:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBASERIESGAMES-26ATLNYKR1-7 yes 100

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