SimpleFunctions

Together · KXISRAELKNESSET-26

Together is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXISRAELKNESSET-26.

Price history

41¢ current

+7¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 29, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the winner of || Election || in || Year || is || Candidate/Option ||, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Together

Rank

#2 of 4

Leader

Likud 51¢

Range

1¢-51¢

Family volume

$574

Identifier

KXISRAELKNESSET-26-TOGE

May 25, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

41¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

40¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

24h volume

$12

Family rank

#2 of 4

4 outcomes · KXISRAELKNESSET-26

Closes

Oct 27, 2027

Family volume

$574

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 43¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
40¢55
38¢6
31¢100
16¢254
15¢49
AskSize
43¢8
45¢380
46¢333
48¢100
55¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the winner of || Election || in || Year || is || Candidate/Option ||, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 27, 2027

Identifier

KXISRAELKNESSET-26-TOGE

SF Signal
SF Index
52.59
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 44¢, -3¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXISRAELKNESSET-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$574

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Likud 51¢

Current share

2%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

105.2%

IY (No)

46.7%

Adj IY

53%

CRI

2

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

105.2%
46.7%
Adj IY
53%
2
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.