Will Tommy Fleetwood win the PGA Championship?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$4.7M
Best sibling
Scottie Scheffler 16¢
Ticker
KXPGATOUR-PGC26-TFLE
Market snapshot
Tommy Fleetwood in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Tommy Fleetwood win the PGA Championship?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $224K. In the KXPGATOUR-PGC26 family, this outcome ranks #6 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Tommy Fleetwood
Family rank
#6 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
24h volume
$224K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXPGATOUR-PGC26
Quote range
1¢-16¢
Family leader
Scottie Scheffler 16¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KXPGATOUR-PGC26-TFLE. Family volume: $4.7M.
Price history
3¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Tommy Fleetwood wins the PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-PGC26-TFLE
Event family
KXPGATOUR-PGC26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$4.7M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scottie Scheffler 16¢
Current share
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-TFLE
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-SSCH
Rickie Fowler
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-RFOW
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-JORD
Brooks Koepka
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-BKOE
Russell Henley
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-RHEN
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-CAME
Adam Scott
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-ADS
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-LABE
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-RMCI
Angel Ayora Fanegas
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-ANA
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-BDEC
Min Woo Lee
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-MLEE
Sam Burns
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-SBUR
Collin Morikawa
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-CMOR
J.J. Spaun
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-PGC26-JSPA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 3% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.