Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?
This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$90
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXH1B-29
Market snapshot
Before 2029 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $90. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before 2029
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
25¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 20, 2029
24h volume
$90
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: KXH1B-29. Family volume: $90.
Price history
25¢ current
−3¢Orderbook snapshot
21 / 25¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the cap on any form of H1-B visa is raised or eliminated, or if another category of H1-B visa is created before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXH1B-29
Event family
KXH1B-29.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$90
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2029 21¢
Current share
100%
Before 2029
kalshi · KXH1B-29
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 25% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.