Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
This contract is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$521
Best sibling
Before 2027 20¢
Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29
Market snapshot
Before Jan 20, 2029 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?. The displayed quote is 56¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $304. In the Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?: Before family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 2:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before Jan 20, 2029
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
56¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 20, 2029
24h volume
$304
Family context
2 outcomes · Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?: Before
Quote range
20¢-51¢
Family leader
Before Jan 20, 2029 51¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 2:23 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: KXINSURRECTION-29. Family volume: $521.
Price history
56¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
51 / 55¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXINSURRECTION-29
Event family
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?: Before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$521
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 20, 2029 51¢
Current share
58%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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