SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 20, 2029984 days left

Will Trump make IVF free?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$34K volume
$7K liquidity
263124% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$13

Best sibling

Ticker

KXFREEIVF-29

Market snapshot

Before 2029 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump make IVF free?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $13. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Before 2029

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

16¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 20, 2029

24h volume

$13

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXFREEIVF-29. Family volume: $13.

Price history

16¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 16¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
14¢263
13¢18
12¢71
11¢1.6K
9¢231
AskSize
16¢122
17¢500
20¢10
67¢449
68¢1.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the President takes an action that eliminates the cost of at least one IVF cycle before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXFREEIVF-29

SF Signal
SF Index
195.21
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXFREEIVF-29.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$13

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Before 2029 14¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

227.8%

IY (No)

6.0%

Adj IY

195%

CRI

6

RV

642%

VR

4.40

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

227.8%
6.0%
Adj IY
195%
6
RV
642%
VR
4.40
IAR
0.9/h
LAS
0.14

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SimpleFunctions context

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.