What is the current probability for "Will Tung-Lin Wu win the Wu vs TE: Round Of 32 match?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 86¢ (86% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Tung-Lin Wu win the Wu vs TE: Round Of 32 match?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 502.0% and 13837.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Tung-Lin Wu win the Wu vs TE: Round Of 32 match?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Tung-Lin Wu win the Wu vs TE: Round Of 32 match?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Will Tung-Lin Wu win the Wu vs TE: Round Of 32 match?. This contract trades at 86¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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86¢

Bid/Ask 83/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $1,623.8·OI $1,451.65·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR27TUNRIG-TUN

7-day price14 snapshots · 6 regime

85¢84¢ current

Apr 2771¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Tung-Lin Wu wins the Wu vs TE professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jiujiang Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 502.0%

IY (No) 13837.7%

Adj IY 13673%

CRI 5

RV 2213%

VR 8.35

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	502.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13837.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13673%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2213%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.35	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/28/2026, 6:46:37 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 6:38:27 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR27TUNRIG-TUN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →