Turkiye advances further than Morocco · KXWCTEAMH2H-26TURMAR
Turkiye advances further than Morocco is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26TURMAR.
Price history
16¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Turkiye advances to a further stage than Morocco in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Turkiye advances further than Morocco
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Morocco advances further than Turkiye 70¢
Range
9¢-70¢
Family volume
$142
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26TURMAR-TUR
Jun 19, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$70
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26TURMAR
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$142
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Turkiye advances to a further stage than Morocco in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26TURMAR-TUR
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26TURMAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$142
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Morocco advances further than Turkiye 70¢
Current share
49%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.