Will Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) win Best Book of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards?
This contract is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
The Lost Boys 5¢
Ticker
KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-TWO
Market snapshot
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) win Best Book of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards?. The displayed quote is 23¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
23¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
5 outcomes · KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM
Quote range
1¢-59¢
Family leader
Schmigadoon! 59¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-TWO. Family volume: —.
Price history
23¢ current
−32¢Orderbook snapshot
22 / 23¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) has won Best Book of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-TWO
Event family
KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Schmigadoon! 59¢
Current share
—
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-TWO
The Lost Boys
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-LOS
Schmigadoon!
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-SCH
Titaníque
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-TIT
Tie
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BBOAM-TIE
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.