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Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.5 billion Trips in Q2

above 3.5 billion is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report.

Price history

96¢ current

+94¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.5 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 3.5 billion

Rank

#4 of 12

Leader

above 3.7 billion 98¢

Range

8¢-98¢

Family volume

$625

Identifier

KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.5BILLION

May 25, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

97¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

24h volume

$307

Family rank

#4 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$625

Orderbook snapshot

97 / 99¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
97¢566
96¢1.2K
95¢1.1K
88¢50
81¢1.1K
AskSize
99¢2.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.5 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.5BILLION

SF Signal
SF Index
8596.79
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16.4%

IY (No)

17193.6%

Adj IY

8597%

CRI

32

Overround

4.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16.4%
17193.6%
Adj IY
8597%
32
Overround
4.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.