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Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.8 billion Trips in Q2

above 3.8 billion is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 12 inside Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report.

Price history

95¢ current

+93¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.8 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 3.8 billion

Rank

#6 of 12

Leader

above 3.6 billion 98¢

Range

11¢-98¢

Family volume

$834

Identifier

KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.8BILLION

May 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

Reported volume

$12K

Family rank

#6 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$834

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 99¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
94¢35
93¢105
92¢750
88¢77
86¢500
AskSize
99¢11K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.8 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.8BILLION

SF Signal
SF Index
8221.08
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

33.5%

IY (No)

8221.1%

Adj IY

8221%

CRI

16

RV

96%

VR

1.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

33.5%
8221.1%
Adj IY
8221%
16
RV
96%
VR
1.67
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
2.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.