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Uber Technologies, Inc. report Above 3.9 billion Trips in Q2

Above 3.9 billion is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 12 inside Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report.

Price history

88¢ current

+7¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 21, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports Above 3.9 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 3.9 billion

Rank

#8 of 12

Leader

above 3.4 billion 98¢

Range

8¢-98¢

Family volume

$99

Identifier

KXUBERTRIPS-26JUL-3.9BILLION

May 28, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

88¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

76¢

Ask

83¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2

Family rank

#8 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$99

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 83¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
76¢250
70¢800
69¢200
62¢21
21¢2.0K
AskSize
83¢250
90¢50
97¢502
98¢3.5K
99¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports Above 3.9 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXUBERTRIPS-26JUL-3.9BILLION

SF Signal
SF Index
885.78
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

176.7%

IY (No)

1771.6%

Adj IY

886%

CRI

3

Overround

5.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

176.7%
1771.6%
Adj IY
886%
3
Overround
5.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.