SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 17, 20268 days left

Will Union Berlin finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?

This contract is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 10¢ spread.

Implied probability

23¢
$35 volume
$35 liquidity
10% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$345

Best sibling

Stuttgart 34¢

Ticker

KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26-UNI

Market snapshot

Union Berlin in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Union Berlin finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?. The displayed quote is 23¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $35. In the KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26 family, this outcome ranks #8 of 14 by current quote across 14 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Union Berlin

Family rank

#8 of 14

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

23¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 17, 2026

Reported volume

$35

Family context

14 outcomes · KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26

Quote range

1¢-96¢

Family leader

Bayern Munich 96¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26-UNI. Family volume: $345.

Price history

23¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 10¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
10¢999
23¢299
47¢3
48¢1.2K
50¢400

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Union Berlin is a Top 4 Finisher in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 17, 2026

Identifier

KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26-UNI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

15929.6%

IY (No)

1421.3%

Adj IY

4502%

CRI

3

Overround

3.7%

LAS

0.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

15929.6%
1421.3%
Adj IY
4502%
3
Overround
3.7%
LAS
0.43

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