SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 17, 20268 days left

Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?

This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

99¢
$963 volume
$575 liquidity
290% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$332

Best sibling

Stuttgart 27¢

Ticker

KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26-BVB

Market snapshot

Dortmund in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?. The displayed quote is 99¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $963. In the KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 14 by current quote across 14 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Dortmund

Family rank

#1 of 14

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

99¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 17, 2026

Reported volume

$963

Family context

14 outcomes · KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26

Quote range

1¢-96¢

Family leader

Dortmund 96¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26-BVB. Family volume: $332.

Price history

99¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 100¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
96¢1.0K
95¢20
94¢10
81¢10
80¢30
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Dortmund is a Top 4 Finisher in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 17, 2026

Identifier

KXBUNDESLIGATOP4-26-BVB

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

194.0%

IY (No)

>100,000%

Adj IY

50000%

CRI

24

Overround

3.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

194.0%
>100,000%
Adj IY
50000%
24
Overround
3.7%

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