What is the current probability for "Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 17¢ (17% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 31, 2026. 241 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 738.3% and 31.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PolymarketDec 31, 2026241 days left

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Open on Polymarket JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

17¢

$483 volume

$4K liquidity

4% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$13K

Best sibling

↑165 47¢

Ticker

0x5f4dcc51…4a60

Price history

17¢ current

−20¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 29¢

Polymarket

13¢ spread

BidSize

100¢1.7K

16¢89

10¢139

6¢100

5¢6

4¢200

3¢200

2¢669

AskSize

29¢5

30¢17

32¢16

34¢10

59¢12

63¢41

72¢49

75¢372

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x5f4dcc51…4a60

Event family

Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$13K

Outcomes

Highest price

↓150 51¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↓120

polymarket · 0x5f4dcc5116361ce0a7de7d12c0873f578a01cff707f801bf5981eb2778984a60

17¢$483$223—

↑165

polymarket · 0xdea9c31e8e1e7dc4a8a6f6b00d2140ea19611ee113ec4a6f3272ab0206edc896