Will UST Par Yield Curve (3M) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 11¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Above 3.50% 3¢
Ticker
KX3MTBILL-26JUN30-T4.00
Market snapshot
Above 4.00% in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will UST Par Yield Curve (3M) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $844. In the Will UST Par Yield Curve (3M) for Q2 2026 be above family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Above 4.00%
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
Reported volume
$844
Family context
2 outcomes · Will UST Par Yield Curve (3M) for Q2 2026 be above
Quote range
3¢-3¢
Family leader
Above 4.00% 3¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KX3MTBILL-26JUN30-T4.00. Family volume: —.
Price history
3¢ current
−17¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 14¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (3 Mo) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
KX3MTBILL-26JUN30-T4.00
Event family
Will UST Par Yield Curve (3M) for Q2 2026 be above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Above 4.00% 3¢
Current share
—
Above 4.00%
kalshi · KX3MTBILL-26JUN30-T4.00
Above 3.50%
kalshi · KX3MTBILL-26JUN30-T3.50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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