Will Wolfsburg be Relegated from Bundesliga in 2025-26 Season?
This contract is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 92¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
12
Family volume
$40
Best sibling
Heidenheim 76¢
Ticker
KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-WOB
Market snapshot
Wolfsburg in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Wolfsburg be Relegated from Bundesliga in 2025-26 Season?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $491. In the KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Wolfsburg
Family rank
#5 of 12
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
7¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 17, 2026
Reported volume
$491
Family context
12 outcomes · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26
Quote range
1¢-76¢
Family leader
Heidenheim 76¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-WOB. Family volume: $40.
Price history
7¢ current
−20¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 98¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Wolfsburg is relegated from Bundesliga in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 17, 2026
Identifier
KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-WOB
Event family
KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$40
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Heidenheim 76¢
Current share
0%
Wolfsburg
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-WOB
Heidenheim
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-FCH
St. Pauli
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-STP
Bayern Munich
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-BMU
Dortmund
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-BVB
FC Cologne
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-KOE
Bremen
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-SVW
Augsburg
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-FCA
Union Berlin
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-UNI
Mainz
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-M05
M´gladbach
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-BMG
Hamburg
kalshi · KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-HSV
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.