SimpleFunctions

You seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week

Above 300K is priced at 84¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above.

Price history

84¢ current

+82¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 14, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has above 300K Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 300K

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Above 100K 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-YOU26JUN18-300K

May 27, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

84¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 27, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

79¢

Ask

89¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above

Closes

Jun 21, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

79 / 89¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
79¢200
72¢40
37¢348
2¢32
AskSize
89¢200
95¢127
96¢66
98¢495
99¢147

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has above 300K Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 21, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-YOU26JUN18-300K

SF Signal
SF Index
5567.88
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

393.4%

IY (No)

5567.9%

Adj IY

5568%

CRI

4

RV

182%

VR

0.93

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

393.4%
5567.9%
Adj IY
5568%
4
RV
182%
VR
0.93
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
5.0%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.