SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 66¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 62¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

66¢
$2K volume
$5K liquidity
59% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

$200M 34¢

Ticker

0xaf5e9038…504e

Market snapshot

$50M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 66¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $327. In the yo.xyz FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

$50M

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

66¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

24h volume

$327

Family context

6 outcomes · yo.xyz FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

31¢-76¢

Family leader

$30M 76¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0xaf5e903876ad42de97e1cf02c2ef8484df69bcfc5541b96a400116557d1e504e. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

66¢ current

+12¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

62 / 69¢

Polymarket
7¢ spread
BidSize
62¢42
60¢17
44¢43
43¢21
35¢2.4K
27¢56
18¢100
15¢400
AskSize
69¢13
70¢30
74¢7
81¢105
82¢94
83¢6
87¢8
90¢198

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of yo's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If yo (https://x.com/yield) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0xaf5e9038…504e

Event family

yo.xyz FDV above ___ one day after launch.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

$30M 76¢

Current share

59%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

31.3%

IY (No)

117.8%

Adj IY

105%

CRI

2

RV

486%

VR

8.65

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

31.3%
117.8%
Adj IY
105%
2
RV
486%
VR
8.65
IAR
2.6/h
Overround
1.9%
LAS
0.11

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Learnanalysis

Implied Yield (IY)

Implied yield converts a prediction market price into the same annualized return units as a treasury bill. Formula, worked example, and where IY breaks down.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index