Albirex Niigata vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 42% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
42%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Closes
May 3, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki” vs “Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xa9a006…9c94
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: Kataller Toyama
0x5261c5…e1bc
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd10859…62db
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)
0x7056f5…f07f
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x881f45…deb3
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)
0x082d3e…9b88
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)
0xa0c83b…2708
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x487003…01fe
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x63efb6…0204
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-1.5)
0xa18b4a…9f97
Cluster 2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-2.5)
0x5dd98a…38d8
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Albirex Niigata
0xa0a31c…2bc7
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc21a62…0eea
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-1.5)
0x01a64b…9a7e
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xbeb972…3a3f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x168e56…f6b6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1c95fd…fbab
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbff960…8b67
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)
0x7eb8e5…c63f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-2.5)
0x1e0203…ea73
What moved the line
- May 3Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kataller Toyama (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑3pp29→32¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.