Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets
Leader sits at 65% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 51%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
51¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
14pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-1.5)
0x0a2d11…a06a
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x78f941…ce45
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x72dcd3…9505
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf4a1b8…1c5d
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x7b0fa0…94f0
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb586da…85d1
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-2.5)
0xa862ed…0185
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-2.5)
0xc9e19c…0bb4
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5)
0xb700dd…1d5e
Analysis
This market reflects a 36% probability that Blaublitz Akita will win or draw against SC Sagamihara in an upcoming match. The probability suggests Sagamihara is favored, likely based on recent form, head-to-head records, or home-field advantage. The outcome will be determined when the match concludes, at which point either Akita fails to avoid defeat (resolving to lower probability) or produces a result without loss (resolving higher). Key uncertainties include team availability due to injuries or suspensions, weather conditions on match day, and any recent tactical changes that might affect performance.
- ›SC Sagamihara's current league position and win-loss record versus Blaublitz Akita's recent performance trend
- ›Home or away designation and historical performance differential between the two clubs at their respective venues
- ›Injury or suspension status of key players for either team prior to match day
- ›Head-to-head historical results between these specific clubs over the last 2-3 seasons
- ›Recent scoring efficiency and defensive records indicating whether draws or decisive outcomes are more likely
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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