Shenzhen Peng City vs Beijing Guoan Winner
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
31%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$340
20 contracts
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
211 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
7 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 11% of their title tokens — “Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Henan Winner” vs “Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City Winner”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Henan Winner
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Henan Winner?: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY05CHOHEN-CHO
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Henan Winner?: Tie
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY05CHOHEN-TIE
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Henan Winner?: Henan
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY05CHOHEN-HEN
Cluster 2
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City Winner
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City Winner?: Shanghai Port
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06SHPSHE-SHP
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City Winner?: Tie
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06SHPSHE-TIE
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City Winner?: Shenzhen Peng City
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06SHPSHE-SHE
Cluster 3
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua Winner
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua Winner?: Shanghai Shenhua
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY05SHTSHS-SHS
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua Winner?: Tie
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY05SHTSHS-TIE
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua Winner?: Shandong Taishan
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY05SHTSHS-SHT
Cluster 4
Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang Prof. Winner
Cluster 5
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo FC Winner
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo FC Winner?: Beijing Guoan
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06BJGDAL-BJG
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo FC Winner?: Tie
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06BJGDAL-TIE
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo FC Winner?: Dalian Yingbo FC
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06BJGDAL-DAL
Cluster 6
Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner
Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner?: Wuhan Three Towns FC
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06WUHQIN-WUH
Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner?: Tie
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06WUHQIN-TIE
Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner?: Qingdao Hainiu
KXCHNSLGAME-26MAY06WUHQIN-QIN
Cluster 7
Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng Winner
What moved the line
- May 3Liaoning Tieren↑3pp11→14¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in china
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Other questions in china.
In china
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.