Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
32%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
50¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 13% of their title tokens — “Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC” vs “Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2b4c20…150c
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC: Caracas FC
0xcdfe02…cef4
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC: Club Independiente Petrolero
0xdbb8be…cf08
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x3dd944…aba5
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)
0xc0f87e…3cf8
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf89db8…aff8
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x14b9f0…8346
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Caracas FC (-2.5)
0x757589…4a25
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5)
0x378f7b…5bbb
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Caracas FC (-1.5)
0x3ac6cb…cb5b
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2900cd…928a
Cluster 2
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc91f8e…fc4a
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x32d4ab…3c4b
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x5c8e41…b6f1
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x9bdf90…2be9
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
0x50a3e5…ff1a
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: Racing Club (-2.5)
0x15e436…84a3
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd61678…cc29
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: Racing Club (-1.5)
0xc988a4…7704
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
0xd6abb8…2411
What moved the line
- May 3Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5)↑9pp12→21¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Caracas FC (-2.5)↑9pp12→21¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Caracas FC (-1.5)↑8pp20→28¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 14 min ago.