Club Alianza Atlético vs. CS Huancayo - More Markets: CS Huancayo (-2.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 27% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
27%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$4
20 contracts
Closes
May 7, 2026
3 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 9% of their title tokens — “Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali” vs “CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali: Club Alianza Atlético
0xe3443c…fce3
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali: Draw (Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali)
0x3adc15…5289
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali: América de Cali
0x434862…9046
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xfab9ac…a061
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x80dc4f…a83e
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)
0xef168a…e777
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: Club Alianza Atlético (-1.5)
0x3f6143…9432
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: América de Cali (-2.5)
0x29a631…e20d
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xf11ea2…4b49
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x5d229c…d749
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: América de Cali (-1.5)
0x96b339…c2ac
Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x823331…d919
Cluster 2
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xfdd357…99cb
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: CD Tolima (-2.5)
0xe39b53…e126
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)
0xa229d8…a31e
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xcc83d1…c4a4
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)
0xbb148b…bc47
Cluster 3
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets
Cluster 4
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Deportivo La Guaira FC
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5)
0xf2f098…756f
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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