CS Cienciano vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos - More Markets: CS Cienciano (-1.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 33% across 16 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
33%
16 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$71
16 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
7 clusters across 16 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 18% of their title tokens — “Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets” vs “Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: CS Cienciano (-1.5)
0x9c8878…2195
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x57efa3…fc4b
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5)
0xfe442e…dd9c
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xcdb8fe…44e4
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x4a9cea…f5f4
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc7befb…da6f
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)
0x4a1204…15f7
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x376086…86e3
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: CS Cienciano (-2.5)
0xd9e4b9…54cc
Cluster 2
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets
Cluster 3
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x92fa6c…9a3a
Cluster 4
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x265119…772e
Cluster 5
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Cluster 6
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
0x2ae2eb…68c8
Cluster 7
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5)↑10pp13→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 3CS Cienciano (-2.5)↑8pp11→19¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↓5pp18→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Both Teams to Score↑4pp50→54¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 1d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.