El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
31%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
14¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC” vs “Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xd79ae9…8d45
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: El Mokawloon El Arab SC
0x44181c…4216
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC)
0x568aa4…4817
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x1940d4…7aa6
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x218f90…4916
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)
0x94b962…3ad3
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-1.5)
0x3e7774…d5e0
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-2.5)
0x85c5f5…f158
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-1.5)
0xec25e2…60ac
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xeef4d7…eca0
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x90b83a…48f0
Cluster 2
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)
0xc72274…aff4
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x7b51f5…9166
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x288ff0…3634
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-1.5)
0xcfd8ae…56c9
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5)
0x38d77b…87c4
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-2.5)
0x058269…1b16
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xbba7de…c1f0
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf2f172…fbe5
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x5e259b…9efe
What moved the line
- May 2O/U 4.5↓5pp13→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 3El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓5pp9→4¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Pharco FC (-1.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 2El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 1Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC)↑4pp31→35¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.