FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
29%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$251
19 contracts
Top contract
56¢
$88 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC” vs “FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC
0x7f5e73…c050
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc2ca50…51b6
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x958037…d5e6
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC)
0xce0561…acdf
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x6bf7a4…f057
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)
0x6d870a…98af
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)
0x468b98…5e2f
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)
0xcd6e15…79ca
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)
0x23088d…3169
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0x24402c…1a29
Cluster 2
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: FC Seoul
0x83fd30…6ea6
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Draw (FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang)
0x2238da…9582
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x73afd8…14c3
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd26be6…ae86
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang - More Markets: FC Seoul (-2.5)
0x563134…4cc0
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x486d10…eda9
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x89cfce…d97c
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang - More Markets: FC Seoul (-1.5)
0x756747…4a02
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang
0x6f7ad7…acce
What moved the line
- May 2Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)↓24pp37→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)↓22pp35→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)↓16pp36→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)↓11pp31→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC)↓9pp38→29¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.