FC Imabari vs. Kataller Toyama - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 42% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
42%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$193
19 contracts
Top contract
53¢
$193 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets” vs “FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)
0x082d3e…9b88
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x487003…01fe
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x63efb6…0204
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd10859…62db
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xa9a006…9c94
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-1.5)
0xa18b4a…9f97
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)
0xa0c83b…2708
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x881f45…deb3
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)
0x7056f5…f07f
Cluster 2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: FC Imabari (-1.5)
0xc0761d…230c
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: FC Imabari (-2.5)
0xc5e536…58b4
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x58385d…685c
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2274e1…b6f2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xf48e4b…939a
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-1.5)
0x288303…8cb2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-2.5)
0xf3fbca…ff30
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa5ce22…337e
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x55d847…096b
Cluster 3
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)
0x879d11…150c
What moved the line
- May 3FC Imabari (-2.5)↑6pp32→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kōchi United SC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kataller Toyama (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.