Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 65% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
15pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-1.5)
0xb2f97d…27c2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2c9b2c…f16e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe281be…c04a
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xae2766…6491
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x799b41…e88e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xa89283…43b3
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-2.5)
0xa28785…00f2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-2.5)
0x572064…4517
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fukushima United FC (-1.5)
0x37f47e…19c3
Analysis
This 47% probability indicates that traders believe there is a slightly below-even chance that both Fujieda MYFC and Fukushima United FC will each score at least one goal in their upcoming match. The probability reflects modest confidence in a goal-heavy outcome rather than a defensive stalemate or one-sided affair. Key drivers of this level include recent scoring patterns for both teams, their defensive capabilities, and head-to-head historical performance. The actual match result will definitively resolve this contract—traders are pricing in modest likelihood of both teams finding the net. This type of market typically sees movement based on team news (injuries to key forwards or defenders), recent form shifts, or weather conditions closer to kickoff that might affect offensive or defensive play. Trading volume remains low at zero in the past 24 hours, suggesting limited recent information flow or market attention to this particular pairing.
- ›Recent goal-scoring rates for both Fujieda MYFC and Fukushima United FC in their respective league matches
- ›Defensive records and clean-sheet frequency for each team over their last 5-10 games
- ›Head-to-head historical meeting records, if available, showing typical goal distributions in prior matchups
- ›Confirmed team line-up changes, injuries to key offensive or defensive players announced before match day
- ›Match venue, weather forecast, and any scheduling factors that historically correlate with higher or lower-scoring outcomes
What moved the line
- May 3Fukushima United FC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Fukushima United FC (-2.5)↑3pp35→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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