Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
36%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$185
20 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$79 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC” vs “Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
0x299117…a858
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8508f6…067a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2c997e…95c4
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)
0x6ffa32…eeea
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)
0x9e39af…bb75
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)
0x817c8e…fc3f
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2251c7…d389
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x20d0cd…a5ef
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)
0x3ed805…a3e4
Cluster 2
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC
0x49cf3f…7a83
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd0a2f0…02d4
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x7eaf4e…d03e
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x401619…be41
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3ff606…2e24
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
0xbba24f…1e51
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)
0xa820b4…50da
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
0x731925…5c99
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)
0xabf5f0…e2ae
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa6bb1f…bbaa
What moved the line
- May 3Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)↑13pp15→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑10pp16→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)↑10pp25→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)↑9pp20→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)↓9pp29→20¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in china
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Other questions in china.
In china
Related reading
Trump China Visit May 15 Surges +13¢ — Diplomatic Breakthrough Priced
The Trump-China May 15 visit market jumped +13¢ to 72¢ today, signaling traders believe a diplomatic trip is imminent. Combined with the June 30 market at 83¢, prediction markets are pricing a near-certain Trump visit to China within 7 weeks. This has major implications for tariff de-escalation trades.
Trump China Visit Markets Surge — May 31 Probability Jumps +8¢ to 78¢
All Trump China visit markets rose simultaneously today, with the May 31 contract gaining the most at +8¢ to 78¢. This coordinated move across multiple time horizons strongly suggests concrete diplomatic progress or a leaked itinerary for a landmark Trump-Xi bilateral meeting.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 h ago.