Gainare Tottori vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
41%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
33¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC” vs “Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5)
0xd7af95…fee6
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: Draw (Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC)
0x164ec0…4d6f
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x035363…ec63
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: Renofa Yamaguchi FC
0x7b9955…5972
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: Reilac Shiga
0x6e16ef…1cf2
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5)
0xaaeaf2…2a40
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xae5a2b…2d40
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Reilac Shiga (-1.5)
0x0f5665…f01a
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x303510…3c8a
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Reilac Shiga (-2.5)
0xdd3092…9e74
Cluster 2
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc62c80…3ca6
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-2.5)
0x00cdc8…8c9f
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori: Draw (Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori)
0x8bfb29…1d08
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori: Gainare Tottori
0x2e8cb9…fdb0
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-1.5)
0xe81828…a3a4
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb085f4…d24e
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x57869b…5019
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2d68ef…5be9
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
0xde051c…f56b
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-2.5)
0x5900f7…c899
What moved the line
- May 3Gainare Tottori↓8pp40→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Sagan Tosu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Reilac Shiga (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gainare Tottori (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5)↑3pp33→36¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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