Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
36%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$261
20 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$94 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC” vs “Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
0x299117…a858
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8508f6…067a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC
0x5734d6…d64b
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)
0x3ed805…a3e4
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC)
0x47b594…8c5a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)
0x817c8e…fc3f
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2c997e…95c4
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)
0x6ffa32…eeea
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2251c7…d389
Cluster 2
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC
0x49cf3f…7a83
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC)
0x331ebc…bacc
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd0a2f0…02d4
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3ff606…2e24
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x401619…be41
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)
0xabf5f0…e2ae
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)
0xa820b4…50da
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
0x731925…5c99
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Beijing Guoan FC
0xf01918…b115
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x7eaf4e…d03e
What moved the line
- May 3Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)↑13pp15→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑10pp16→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)↑10pp25→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)↓7pp30→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Xihaian FC↑6pp42→48¢ · Polymarket
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.