Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
30%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$16
20 contracts
Top contract
41¢
$11 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC” vs “Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd9e96a…3268
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Kyōto Sanga FC
0xe6b9d5…2783
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5)
0xce2952…4178
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x35fac1…c35e
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8ab58d…9774
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf1423f…1619
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd4cc9a…8cd8
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)
0xf35f62…6fe2
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)
0x33b100…116d
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5)
0xad3d5f…1797
Cluster 2
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Nagoya Grampus
0x25132a…c79e
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)
0xa41811…3aa9
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Nagoya Grampus (-2.5)
0x0a8118…d88b
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)
0x97c68a…0456
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xec59e7…8852
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe57d5e…f288
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc12420…a052
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)
0x0524ea…9f8d
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x6cfc8d…7b8f
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x164f65…9ef8
What moved the line
- May 3O/U 1.5↑7pp62→69¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)↑3pp30→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Nagoya Grampus (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 14 min ago.