Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices
Leader sits at 52% across 10 bound outcomes, runner-up at 43%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ
Outcomes
10
winner-take-all
Runner-up
43¢
U.S. Gulf Coast weekly avera
Spread
9pp
contested
24h volume
$1K
modest
Closes
May 6, 2026
3 days
Venue
Kalshi
10 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.20ㅤ?: Above 4.20ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T4.20
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T4.15
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.05ㅤ?: Above 4.05ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T4.05
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.10ㅤ?: Above 4.10ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T4.10
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.25ㅤ?: Above 4.25ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T4.25
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.00ㅤ?: Above 4.00ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T4.00
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.95ㅤ?: Above 3.95ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T3.95
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.90ㅤ?: Above 3.90ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T3.90
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.85ㅤ?: Above 3.85ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T3.85
Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.80ㅤ?: Above 3.80ㅤ
KXJETFUEL-26MAY06-T3.80
What moved the line
- Apr 30U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.85ㅤ?: Above 3.85ㅤ↓53pp89→36¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 30U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.95ㅤ?: Above 3.95ㅤ↓49pp81→32¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 30U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.90ㅤ?: Above 3.90ㅤ↓48pp87→39¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 30U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.00ㅤ?: Above 4.00ㅤ↓40pp74→34¢ · Kalshi
- May 2U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ↑28pp32→60¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.