Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)

30-day trend

Analysis

This market indicates a 34% probability that FC Mito Holly Hock will lose by more than 2.5 goals to Kashima Antlers, with the competing -1.5 spread trading slightly lower at 33%. The close pricing between these two spreads suggests uncertainty about the margin of victory rather than the match outcome itself. The probability reflects Kashima's historical advantage as the stronger J-League side, but limited trading volume ($0 across all contracts in the past 24 hours) indicates sparse market activity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads. Key factors moving this line would include recent form, team injuries, and head-to-head records. The match result itself will directly resolve this contract once played.

• ›Kashima Antlers' current league position and recent win/loss record versus FC Mito Holly Hock's defensive record
• ›Total goals in recent matchups between these teams; markets pricing O/U 2.5 at 47 cents suggests moderate scoring expectations
• ›Absence of significant trading volume ($0 in 24h) across all related contracts, indicating thin liquidity and less refined probability discovery
• ›Injury status or roster changes for either team that would impact offensive or defensive capability
• ›Head-to-head historical results between Kashima and Holly Hock, particularly goal differential in recent encounters

What moved the line

• May 3Kashima Antlers (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
• May 3FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds