Kataller Toyama vs. Albirex Niigata
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
38%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki” vs “Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xa9a006…9c94
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: Draw (Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki)
0x8f340f…1ee8
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: Kataller Toyama
0x5261c5…e1bc
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)
0xa0c83b…2708
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)
0x082d3e…9b88
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x63efb6…0204
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)
0x7056f5…f07f
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd10859…62db
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x881f45…deb3
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-1.5)
0xa18b4a…9f97
Cluster 2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xbeb972…3a3f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-1.5)
0x01a64b…9a7e
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Draw (Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis)
0x263600…90e2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbff960…8b67
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)
0x7eb8e5…c63f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc21a62…0eea
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-2.5)
0x1e0203…ea73
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x168e56…f6b6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Tokushima Vortis
0xb3a05a…67d6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Albirex Niigata
0xa0a31c…2bc7
What moved the line
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kataller Toyama (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑3pp29→32¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.