Kōchi United SC vs. Tokushima Vortis
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
41%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
33¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC” vs “Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: FC Imabari (-2.5)
0xc5e536…58b4
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x55d847…096b
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC: Kōchi United SC
0xf55736…d314
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2274e1…b6f2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa5ce22…337e
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xf48e4b…939a
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x58385d…685c
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-1.5)
0x288303…8cb2
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC: FC Imabari
0x6d33f0…d8c4
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: Kōchi United SC (-2.5)
0xf3fbca…ff30
Cluster 2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-1.5)
0x01a64b…9a7e
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)
0x7eb8e5…c63f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-2.5)
0x1e0203…ea73
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x168e56…f6b6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Tokushima Vortis
0xb3a05a…67d6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Albirex Niigata
0xa0a31c…2bc7
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbff960…8b67
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc21a62…0eea
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Draw (Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis)
0x263600…90e2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xbeb972…3a3f
What moved the line
- May 2FC Imabari↑13pp32→45¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Imabari (-2.5)↑6pp32→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kōchi United SC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kōchi United SC (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.