SimpleFunctions
20 contractsKalshirefreshed 3 min agoCloses Apr 26, 2026 · 0d

Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Inter Kashi FC

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

41%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

41%

20 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$18K

20 contracts

Closes

Apr 26, 2026

0 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 26% (7 days, 7 points)Aggregate: 26% on 2026-05-03
Aggregate of 20 contracts · 7d

Bracket families

9 clusters across 20 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters

The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Will Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition win” vs “Will Berlin International Gaming win”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.

Cluster 1

Will Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition win

3 contracts$20

Cluster 2

Will Berlin International Gaming win

3 contracts$0

Cluster 3

Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants Winner

2 contracts$13K

Cluster 4

Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Winner

2 contracts$5K

Cluster 5

Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Winner

2 contracts$84

Cluster 6

Will GIANTX PRIDE win

2 contracts$0

Cluster 7

Will Barça eSports win

2 contracts$0

Cluster 8

Will over 2.5 maps be played in

2 contracts$0

Cluster 9

Will Lucknow Super Giants score over

2 contracts$0

What moved the line

  • May 3Berlin International Gaming41pp443¢ · Kalshi
  • May 3Berlin International Gaming40pp444¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Lucknow Super Giants14pp2236¢ · Kalshi
  • Apr 28Mumbai Indians10pp5464¢ · Kalshi
  • May 1Royal Challengers Bengaluru9pp5261¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.