Orlando vs Detroit
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 47% across 18 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
47%
18 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$577K
18 contracts
Closes
May 17, 2026
14 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 18 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over” vs “Orlando vs Detroit”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 203.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-203
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 200.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-200
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 218.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-218
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 206.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-206
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 188.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-188
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 191.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-191
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 197.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-197
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 209.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-209
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 194.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-194
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 212.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-212
Game 7: Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 215.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-215
Cluster 2
Orlando vs Detroit
Orlando vs Detroit: First Half Winner?: Orlando wins 1st half
KXNBA1HWINNER-26MAY03ORLDET-ORL
Orlando vs Detroit: First Half Winner?: Detroit wins 1st half
KXNBA1HWINNER-26MAY03ORLDET-DET
Orlando vs Detroit: First Half Total?: Over 105.5 1H points scored
KXNBA1HTOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-105
Orlando vs Detroit: First Half Total?: Over 102.5 1H points scored
KXNBA1HTOTAL-26MAY03ORLDET-102
Orlando vs Detroit: Second Half Winner?: Detroit wins 2nd half
KXNBA2HWINNER-26MAY03ORLDET-DET
Cluster 3
Will Orlando win 4-3 in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs
Cluster 4
Will Detroit win 4-3 in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs
What moved the line
- May 3DET wins 4-3↑22pp51→73¢ · Kalshi
- May 2DET wins 4-3↑12pp39→51¢ · Kalshi
- May 2ORL wins 4-3↑9pp10→19¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 26DET wins 4-3↑8pp23→31¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Orlando at Detroit: Total Points: Over 188.5 points scored↑7pp67→74¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.