Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
31%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$827
20 contracts
Top contract
48¢
$298 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
10 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 10% of their title tokens — “Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets” vs “Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe281be…c04a
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x799b41…e88e
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: Fujieda MYFC (-1.5)
0xb2f97d…27c2
Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xae2766…6491
Cluster 2
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC
0x10cbc2…77dd
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d58f6…ee3d
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-2.5)
0x4ce71d…a7ed
Cluster 3
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb4dcaf…a97b
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8f0caa…5dd3
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)
0x178a18…e4f2
Cluster 4
FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets: O/U
Cluster 5
United States vs. Paraguay
Cluster 6
EPL: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Newcastle United
EPL: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor): Newcastle United
0xe6ce8f…fe3e
Cluster 7
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: O/U 4.5
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x379684…337b
Cluster 8
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: Draw
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia)
0x56b99e…e1d8
Cluster 9
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 4.5
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x58a705…db3a
Cluster 10
A League Soccer: Winner: Newcastle Jets
A League Soccer: Winner: Newcastle Jets
0x1b9cfe…79eb
What moved the line
- May 217th Place (Relegation Survivor): Newcastle United↓17pp22→5¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Incheon United FC↓4pp32→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3CA Rosario Central (-2.5)↑4pp19→23¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.