Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 75% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 56%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
56¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 4, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: Bengaluru FC (-1.5)
0x228300…f14f
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: Odisha FC (-1.5)
0xce6fed…a56c
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xbf1c11…34bb
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb47522…de72
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d3acd…5cd0
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x0ab914…d9e7
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x23e3ab…24e9
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: Bengaluru FC (-2.5)
0xe05465…ba9e
Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets: Odisha FC (-2.5)
0xee87a5…b6e3
Analysis
This probability reflects the likelihood that Odisha FC defeats Bengaluru FC in an upcoming Indian Super League match. The 51% probability indicates a near-toss-up favoring Odisha, derived from five separate prediction contracts on Polymarket with significant disagreement—the leading estimate stands at 51% while runner-up contracts show 38%. Home-field advantage, recent team form, and player availability typically drive such matchups. The outcome resolves upon final match result. Key variables include each team's current league position, head-to-head historical performance, injury status of key players, and recent scoring trends. Liquidity remains moderate across contracts, with 24-hour volumes ranging from $52 to $327, suggesting active but not consensus pricing.
- ›Odisha FC's current league standing and points differential compared to Bengaluru FC heading into the fixture
- ›Win-loss records and goal differential for both teams over their last 5–10 matches prior to kickoff
- ›Confirmed player absences or injuries affecting either team's starting lineup or squad depth
- ›Historical head-to-head results between these two clubs and venue-specific performance (home vs. away)
- ›Market disagreement: 51% leader vs. 38% runner-up indicates material pricing divergence that resolves upon match completion
What moved the line
- May 3Bengaluru FC (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Odisha FC (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 2.5↓3pp53→50¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 4.5↑3pp31→34¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.